Every production phase or society or other human invention goes through a so-called transformation process. While my response to the attendees’ question was a bit long-winded, the gist of it is that if you are concerned about a market crash that meets or exceeds 2008, the VIX is the indicator you want to follow. As with any sort of index, different VIX levels tell us different things about the market – that’s how we are going to determine when to be invested and when not to be. Markets were spooked by the Hatry Case in late September, which caused the British stock market to drop. A select group of journalists from The Wall Street Journal decide which companies are part of the most influential index in the world market.
When enough sellers offload a stock because of their own fear of loss based on something they’ve heard, it will cause the price of that stock to drop. Based upon the idea that a cooling off period would help dissipate investor panic, these mandatory market shutdowns are triggered whenever a large pre-defined market decline occurs during the trading day. Bear markets are periods of declining stock market prices that are measured in months or years. The mechanism works by means of central banks buying bonds in the stock market or directly from banks.
In 2008, the failure of some financial institutions in the United States lead to a global crisis that resulted in the failures of some European banks and sharp declines in the global stock market. That’s because when the stock market started falling, brokers suddenly called in their loans.
The panic increased with the communication blackout and cause a stock market crash. Had you paid attention during 1999 or 2000 to a specific stock market prediction you could have avoided a significant drop in your retirement funds. By year’s end it would go up to around 290 and just before the Crash of ’29, it had a High of 381.
In 1963, Benoît Mandelbrot proposed that instead of following a strict random walk, stock price variations executed a Lévy flight.25 A Lévy flight is a random walk which is occasionally disrupted by large movements. The market continued to decline in value, leaving investors who had purchased stock on credit financially destroyed. This did little more than temporarily stem the tide, however, because from Black Thursday to October 29, 1929 ( Black Tuesday ), stocks still lost more than $26 billion of value and more than 30 million shares traded. When word spread that banks’ assets contained huge uncollectable loans and almost worthless stock certificates, depositors rushed to withdraw their savings.
